Researchers improve western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity forecasts using the logistic growth equation
Published Date: 6/8/2021
Source: phys.org
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are humbling and powerful forces of nature that can have tremendous impacts on people and human populations. Meteorologists have strived to improve TC forecasting skill, hoping to save lives. In the past few decades, TC track forecasts over the western North Pacific (WNP) have progressed considerably. However, TC intensity forecasts have improved insignificantly, with only a 3 to 5 day lead time. Therefore, improving TC intensity forecast skill and extending lead forecast time are important and urgent issues.